Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause of death worldwide, and current predictors such as lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] and risk scores have limitations. Automated machine learning (AutoML) of Show more
Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause of death worldwide, and current predictors such as lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] and risk scores have limitations. Automated machine learning (AutoML) offers the potential to improve CVD risk prediction by processing large datasets and developing tailored models without the need for extensive data science expertise. Using clinical datasets from the LURIC (n = 3316) and UMC/M (n = 423) studies, we built AutoML models to predict Lp(a), specific CVDs and CVD-related mortality in three phases. Phase 1 identified key CVD determinants such as age, Lp(a), troponin T, BMI and cholesterol with good accuracy (AUC 0.6249 to 0.9101). Phase 2 validated models in the UMC/M dataset and showed robust performance (AUC 0.7224 to 0.8417), with SHAP analysis highlighting predictors like statin therapy, age and NTproBNP. Phase 3 focused on cardiovascular mortality prediction, achieving high AUC values (0.74 to 0.85) and showed data drift, highlighting the need for model adjustment. Show less
Elevated cholesterol levels in children can be a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases in later life. In adults, it has been shown that blood lipid levels are strongly influenced by polymorphisms in Show more
Elevated cholesterol levels in children can be a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases in later life. In adults, it has been shown that blood lipid levels are strongly influenced by polymorphisms in the fatty acid desaturase (FADS) gene cluster in addition to nutritional and other exogenous and endogenous determinants. Our aim was to investigate whether lipid levels are determined by the FADS genotype already in children and whether this association interacts with dietary intake of n-3 fatty acids. The analysis was based on data of 2006 children from two German prospective birth cohort studies. Total cholesterol, HDL, LDL and triglycerides were measured at 10 years of age. Six single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the FADS gene cluster were genotyped. Dietary n-3 fatty acid intake was assessed by food frequency questionnaire. Linear regression modeling was used to assess the association between lipid levels, n-3 fatty acid intake and FADS genotype. Individuals carrying the homozygous minor allele had lower levels of total cholesterol [means ratio (MR) ranging from 0.96 (p = 0.0093) to 0.98 (p = 0.2949), depending on SNPs] and LDL [MR between 0.94 (p = 0.0179) and 0.97 (p = 0.2963)] compared to homozygous major allele carriers. Carriers of the heterozygous allele showed lower HDL levels [β between -0.04 (p = 0.0074) to -0.01 (p = 0.3318)] and higher triglyceride levels [MR ranging from 1.06 (p = 0.0065) to 1.07 (p = 0.0028)] compared to homozygous major allele carriers. A higher n-3 PUFA intake was associated with higher concentrations of total cholesterol, LDL, HDL and lower triglyceride levels, but these associations did not interact with the FADS1 FADS2 genotype. Total cholesterol, HDL, LDL and triglyceride concentrations may be influenced by the FADS1 FADS2 genotype already in 10 year old children. Genetically determined blood lipid levels during childhood might differentially predispose individuals to the development of cardiovascular diseases later in life. Show less