👤 David Kallend

Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) survivors have heightened risk for subsequent cardiovascular events. All baseline characteristics collected in both the Dal-Outcomes and Dal-GenE trials were considered as potential risk markers. A prediction index for subsequent fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI) following ACS was developed using Cox proportional hazards modeling on data from Dal-Outcomes placebo patients (n=7086). This prediction index was then applied in all Dal-GenE participants (n=5989) to determine whether the reduction in MI observed with dalcetrapib (versus placebo) in patients with the AA genotype at rs1967309 in the ADCY9 gene remained significant, independent of the other markers integrated into the prediction index. Of the 36 baseline variables considered as potential risk markers, 18 contributed to the prediction index with a Harrell's C-index of 0.72 (95% CI, 0.69-0.75) in Dal-Outcomes placebo patients. Prior history of coronary events, LDL-C, blood pressure, A1c, hs-CRP, smoking and age were contributors. The prediction index was strongly predictive when applied to the 5989 AA genotype patients from Dal-GenE, with a HR for MI of 1.92 (95%CI: 1.78-2.08) for each SD increase in score. When adjusting for the prediction index, the HR for dalcetrapib versus placebo was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.63-0.94) in Dal-GenE. Despite guideline directed therapy following ACS, history of prior coronary events and on-treatment LDL-C, A1c, hs-CRP and blood pressure remain determinants of future MI. In the Dal-GenE AA genotype patients, dalcetrapib reduced the rate of MI, independently of those variables. The Dal-GenE 2 trial is designed to confirm this pharmacogenetic hypothesis. Show less

Incident type 2 diabetes is common among patients with recent acute coronary syndrome and is associated with an adverse prognosis. Some data suggest that cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) inhibitors reduce incident type 2 diabetes. We compared the effect of treatment with the CETP inhibitor dalcetrapib or placebo on incident diabetes in patients with recent acute coronary syndrome. In the dal-OUTCOMES trial, 15,871 patients were randomly assigned to treatment with dalcetrapib 600 mg daily or placebo, beginning 4-12 weeks after an acute coronary syndrome. Absence of diabetes at baseline was based on medical history, no use of antihyperglycemic medication, and hemoglobin A At baseline, 10,645 patients (67% of the trial cohort) did not have diabetes. During a median follow-up of 30 months, incident diabetes was identified in 403 of 5,326 patients (7.6%) assigned to dalcetrapib and in 516 of 5,319 (9.7%) assigned to placebo, corresponding to absolute risk reduction of 2.1%, hazard ratio of 0.77 (95% CI 0.68-0.88; In patients with a recent acute coronary syndrome, incident diabetes is common and is reduced substantially by treatment with dalcetrapib. Show less

High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) concentration is inversely related to risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in epidemiologic studies but is a poorer predictor of MACE in patients with established coronary heart disease. HDL particle concentration (HDLP) has been proposed as a better predictor of risk. We investigated whether HDLP is associated with risk of MACE after acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The dal-Outcomes trial compared the CETP inhibitor dalcetrapib with placebo in patients with recent ACS. In a nested case-cohort analysis, total, large, medium, and small HDLPs were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy at baseline (4-12 weeks after ACS) in 476 cases with MACE and 902 controls. Hazard ratios (HRs; case-control) for 1-SD increment of HDLP or HDL-C at baseline were calculated with and without adjustment for demographic, clinical, laboratory, and treatment variables. Similarly, HRs for MACE were calculated for changes in HDLP or HDL-C from baseline to month 3 of assigned treatment. Over median follow-up of 28 months, the risk of MACE was not associated with baseline HDLP (adjusted HR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.84-1.15, P = .81), any HDLP subclass, or HDL-C. Dalcetrapib increased HDL-C and total, medium, and large HDLP and decreased small HDLP but had no effect on MACE compared with placebo. There were no association of risk of MACE with change in HDLP or HDL-C and no interaction with assigned study treatment. Neither baseline HDLP nor the change in HDLP on treatment with dalcetrapib or placebo was associated with risk of MACE after ACS. Show less