👤 Martin Ridderstråle

To delineate organ-specific and systemic drivers of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), we applied integrative causal inference across clinical, imaging, and proteomic domains in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes (T2D). Bayesian network analyses and complementary two-sample Mendelian randomization were used to quantify causal pathways linking adipose distribution, glycemia, and insulin dynamics with liver fat in the IMI-DIRECT prospective cohort study. Data included frequently sampled metabolic challenge tests, MRI-derived abdominal and hepatic fat content, serological biomarkers, and Olink plasma proteomics from 331 adults with new-onset T2D and 964 adults without diabetes, with harmonized protocols enabling replication. High basal insulin secretion rate (BasalISR), estimated via C-peptide deconvolution, emerged as the primary potential causal driver of liver fat accumulation in both cohorts. BasalISR, a clearance-independent measure of β-cell insulin output distinct from peripheral insulin levels, was independently linked to hepatic steatosis. Visceral adipose tissue exhibited bidirectional associations with liver fat, suggesting a self-reinforcing metabolic loop. Of 446 analyzed proteins, 34 mapped to these metabolic networks (27 in the non-diabetes network, 18 in the T2D network, and 11 shared). Key proteins directly associated with liver fat included GUSB, ALDH1A1, LPL, IGFBP1/2, CTSD, HMOX1, FGF21, AGRP, and ACE2. Sex-stratified analyses identified GUSB in females and LEP in males as the strongest protein predictors of liver fat. BasalISR may better capture early β-cell-driven disturbances contributing to MASLD. These findings outline a multifactorial, sex- and disease stage-specific proteo-metabolic architecture of hepatic steatosis and identify potential biomarkers or therapeutic targets. Show less

To delineate organ-specific and systemic drivers of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), we applied integrative causal inference across clinical, imaging, and proteomic domains in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes (T2D). We used Bayesian network analyses to quantify causal pathways linking adipose distribution, glycemia, and insulin dynamics with fatty liver using data from the IMI-DIRECT prospective cohort study. Measurements were made of glucose and insulin dynamics (using frequently-sampled metabolic challenge tests), MRI-derived abdominal and liver fat content, serological biomarkers, and Olink plasma proteomics from 331 adults with new-onset T2D and 964 adults free from diabetes at enrolment. The common protocols used in these two cohorts provided the opportunity for replication analyses to be performed. When the direction of the effect could not be determined with high probability through Bayesian networks, complementary two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was employed. High basal insulin secretion rate (BasalISR) was identified as the primary causal driver of liver fat accumulation in both diabetes and non-diabetes. Excess visceral adipose tissue (VAT) was bidirectionally associated with liver fat, indicating a self-reinforcing metabolic loop. Basal insulin clearance (Clinsb) worsened as a consequence of liver fat accumulation to a greater degree before the onset of T2D. Out of 446 analysed proteins, 34 mapped to these metabolic networks and 27 were identified in the non-diabetes network, 18 in the diabetes network, and 11 were common between the two networks. Key proteins directly associated with liver fat included GUSB, ALDH1A1, LPL, IGFBP1/2, CTSD, HMOX1, FGF21, AGRP, and ACE2. Sex-stratified analyses revealed distinct proteomic drivers: GUSB and LEP were most predictive of liver fat in females and males, respectively. Basal insulin hypersecretion is a modifiable, causal driver of MASLD, particularly prior to glycaemic decompensation. Our findings highlight a multifactorial, sex- and disease-stage-specific proteo-metabolic architecture of hepatic steatosis. Proteins such as GUSB, ALDH1A1, LPL, and IGFBPs warrant further investigation as potential biomarkers or therapeutic targets for MASLD prevention and treatment. Show less

Obesity is globally prevalent and highly heritable, but its underlying genetic factors remain largely elusive. To identify genetic loci for obesity susceptibility, we examined associations between body mass index and ∼ 2.8 million SNPs in up to 123,865 individuals with targeted follow up of 42 SNPs in up to 125,931 additional individuals. We confirmed 14 known obesity susceptibility loci and identified 18 new loci associated with body mass index (P < 5 × 10⁻⁸), one of which includes a copy number variant near GPRC5B. Some loci (at MC4R, POMC, SH2B1 and BDNF) map near key hypothalamic regulators of energy balance, and one of these loci is near GIPR, an incretin receptor. Furthermore, genes in other newly associated loci may provide new insights into human body weight regulation. Show less